Search results for "spread option"

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Pricing of forwards and other derivatives in cointegrated commodity markets

2015

Abstract We analyze cointegration in commodity markets, and propose a parametric class of pricing measures which preserves cointegration for forward prices with fixed time to maturity. We present explicit expressions for the term structure of volatility and correlation in the context of our spot price models based on continuous-time autoregressive moving average dynamics for the stationary components. The term structures have many interesting shapes, and we provide some empirical evidence from refined oil future prices at NYMEX defending our modeling idea. Motivated from these results, we present a cointegrated forward price dynamics using the Heath–Jarrow–Morton approach. In this setting, …

Economics and EconometricsComplete marketSpot contractCointegrationFinancial economicsRisk premiumContext (language use)Margrabe's formulaGeneral EnergyEconomicsEconometricsForward priceVolatility (finance)Spread option
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Pricing of Forwards and Options in a Multivariate Non-Gaussian Stochastic Volatility Model for Energy Markets

2013

In Benth and Vos (2013) we introduced a multivariate spot price model with stochastic volatility for energy markets which captures characteristic features, such as price spikes, mean reversion, stochastic volatility, and inverse leverage effect as well as dependencies between commodities. In this paper we derive the forward price dynamics based on our multivariate spot price model, providing a very flexible structure for the forward curves, including contango, backwardation, and hump shape. Moreover, a Fourier transform-based method to price options on the forward is described.

TheoryofComputation_MISCELLANEOUSspread optionStatistics and Probability15A04Computer Science::Computer Science and Game TheoryFinancial economicsNormal backwardationImplied volatility01 natural sciences010104 statistics & probabilityEnergy marketVolatility swap0502 economics and businessEconometricsForward volatilitystochastic volatility0101 mathematicsMathematics050208 financeStochastic volatilityApplied Mathematics05 social sciencesContangosubordinatorforward pricing91G20Forward priceVolatility smile60H3060G1060G51Advances in Applied Probability
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